Almancilense vs Ideal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
37.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almancilense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
EVN
2 - 0
ALM
31%
22%
47%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
ALM
1 - 4
CAS
19%
26%
56%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
PIN
1 - 1
ALM
64%
21%
15%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
ALM
2 - 1
MON
66%
18%
16%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
MOU
3 - 1
ALM
47%
26%
27%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
IDE
2 - 1
49%
22%
29%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
ARM
0 - 0
IDE
57%
20%
23%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
IDE
0 - 2
FAR
16%
24%
60%
|
38 | 59 | 21 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
FCC
1 - 0
IDE
35%
23%
43%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
IDE
2 - 1
ORI
17%
23%
61%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | +3 |