Almada vs Sesimbra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
66%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
PAL
0 - 1
ALM
37%
23%
40%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
ALM
2 - 1
OMO
59%
20%
20%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
CIN
1 - 0
ALM
65%
19%
16%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ALM
0 - 3
ALC
13%
19%
69%
|
12 | 27 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 1978 |
ALM
1 - 3
FCP
9%
16%
75%
|
12 | 86 | 74 | 0 |
Matches
Sesimbra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
SES
0 - 0
MCA
77%
15%
9%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
OGR
2 - 0
SES
23%
23%
55%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | -2 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
SES
1 - 0
ARR
86%
10%
4%
|
27 | 9 | 18 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
CHC
0 - 1
SES
10%
18%
72%
|
27 | 9 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
LUS
3 - 1
SES
78%
15%
7%
|
28 | 51 | 23 | -1 |