Almada vs Palmelense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
29.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
OMO
2 - 1
ALM
30%
23%
47%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ALM
1 - 1
CIN
28%
23%
49%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
ALC
1 - 0
ALM
79%
14%
7%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
FCB
1 - 0
ALM
87%
9%
3%
|
12 | 41 | 29 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ALM
1 - 1
UBA
29%
23%
48%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Palmelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
PAL
1 - 3
MCA
38%
24%
38%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
OGR
1 - 1
PAL
66%
18%
16%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
PAL
3 - 1
ARR
60%
21%
19%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
PAL
0 - 1
CHC
55%
22%
24%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
AMO
2 - 0
PAL
86%
10%
4%
|
12 | 40 | 28 | 0 |