Almada vs Charneca Caparica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.1%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
12.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
AMO
2 - 0
ALM
88%
9%
3%
|
13 | 46 | 33 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
ALM
3 - 1
SES
14%
20%
66%
|
11 | 23 | 12 | +2 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
PAL
0 - 1
ALM
37%
23%
40%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
ALM
2 - 1
OMO
59%
20%
20%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
CIN
1 - 0
ALM
65%
19%
16%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Charneca Caparica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
CHC
1 - 1
MCA
12%
18%
69%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
OGR
3 - 0
CHC
85%
11%
5%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
CHC
1 - 2
ARR
51%
22%
27%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -2 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
ALF
2 - 1
CHC
81%
13%
7%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
AMO
3 - 2
CHC
88%
9%
3%
|
9 | 50 | 41 | 0 |