Alloa Athletic vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.8%
16.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1956 |
ALL
1 - 3
BRE
52%
20%
28%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1956 |
HAM
3 - 2
ALL
69%
17%
14%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 1956 |
DUM
1 - 1
ALL
64%
18%
17%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1956 |
BRE
3 - 1
ALL
67%
17%
16%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1956 |
ALL
3 - 1
HAM
56%
20%
24%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1956 |
DUM
3 - 4
HAM
58%
19%
23%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1956 |
BRE
3 - 4
DUM
66%
16%
18%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 1956 |
DUM
1 - 1
ALL
64%
18%
17%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1956 |
HAM
5 - 3
DUM
65%
18%
17%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1956 |
DUM
1 - 8
BRE
59%
18%
23%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -2 |