Alloa Athletic vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
25.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2018 |
ALL
1 - 2
FAL
41%
25%
34%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
DUM
0 - 2
ALL
28%
25%
48%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2018 |
ALL
0 - 1
DUM
65%
20%
15%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
RAI
1 - 2
ALL
42%
25%
33%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2018 |
ALL
2 - 0
RAI
39%
24%
37%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
DUN
1 - 1
ARB
61%
21%
18%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2018 |
ARB
1 - 2
HOM
18%
23%
60%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
DUM
1 - 1
ARB
27%
23%
50%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2018 |
ARB
1 - 2
DUM
61%
21%
18%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
QUE
3 - 0
ARB
22%
24%
54%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | -1 |