Allerød vs B 1903 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
59.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Allerød
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
BAL
2 - 0
ALL
60%
21%
20%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
ALL
1 - 2
BOL
47%
23%
30%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
SKO
1 - 0
ALL
71%
17%
12%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
FRE
2 - 0
ALL
50%
22%
27%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
ALL
1 - 2
GVI
35%
24%
41%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
B 1903
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
B19
0 - 0
NBB
61%
22%
17%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
FCO
2 - 2
B19
57%
22%
22%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
B19
0 - 1
FRE
28%
24%
49%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
GRE
1 - 3
B19
32%
23%
45%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
B19
4 - 0
BAL
68%
19%
13%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |