Alianza vs Once Lobos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
20.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
BAL
2 - 2
ALI
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
ALI
2 - 0
AGU
47%
25%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
ONC
1 - 2
ALI
41%
26%
33%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
ALI
1 - 2
FAS
42%
26%
33%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2004 |
MUN
1 - 1
ALI
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Once Lobos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
ONC
0 - 1
ONC
61%
22%
18%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
ONC
2 - 1
FAS
36%
26%
38%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
MUN
1 - 1
ONC
43%
26%
31%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
ONC
1 - 2
SAL
54%
23%
24%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2004 |
FIR
1 - 1
ONC
55%
24%
22%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |