Alianza Lima vs Universitario Deportes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
31%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1972 |
USF
0 - 0
ALI
48%
21%
31%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1972 |
UCH
2 - 3
ALI
62%
19%
19%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1972 |
UNI
2 - 1
ALI
61%
19%
20%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1966 |
ALI
1 - 1
UNI
62%
19%
19%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1966 |
ALI
3 - 0
LAR
53%
20%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1972 |
USF
1 - 3
UNI
40%
22%
38%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1972 |
UCH
1 - 0
UNI
52%
21%
27%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1972 |
UNI
2 - 1
ALI
61%
19%
20%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1971 |
NAC
3 - 0
UNI
69%
18%
13%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 May. 1971 |
PAL
3 - 0
UNI
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |