Alianza II vs Champions Academy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
54.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
4º
10º
8º
36
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
36 | 36 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 16 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 8 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 5 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
UME
6 - 0
AFC
70%
18%
12%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
SSM
2 - 1
AFC
67%
19%
14%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
CDP
2 - 0
AFC
69%
18%
14%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
AFC
0 - 1
TFC
22%
23%
55%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
SMA
0 - 0
AFC
32%
24%
44%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Champions Academy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
PCF
0 - 0
CHA
29%
27%
44%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
CHA
4 - 3
CDE
59%
22%
19%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 0
SSM
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 2
UME
44%
27%
29%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CEN
0 - 1
CHA
11%
20%
69%
|
53 | 28 | 25 | +1 |