Aliança vs Quixadá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.1%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
77.5%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.6%
0-4
6.8%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
10.1%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.1%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aliança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2017 |
AAF
0 - 3
ICA
18%
20%
63%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
AAF
2 - 2
TEC
69%
17%
14%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
IGU
0 - 1
AAF
75%
15%
10%
|
14 | 33 | 19 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2017 |
AAF
0 - 0
MAR
10%
15%
75%
|
12 | 37 | 25 | +2 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
LIM
0 - 2
AAF
83%
11%
6%
|
10 | 31 | 21 | +2 |
Matches
Quixadá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
ICA
1 - 5
QUI
40%
25%
35%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
QUI
0 - 3
TIR
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 Mar. 2016 |
ITA
2 - 2
QUI
28%
26%
46%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
QUI
2 - 0
ITA
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
TIR
1 - 0
QUI
47%
24%
28%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |