Alfonsine FC 1921 vs Castelfidardo Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
51%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfonsine FC 1921
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 0
ALF
78%
14%
9%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
JES
2 - 1
ALF
67%
18%
15%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ALF
0 - 1
OLY
21%
21%
58%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
PIN
3 - 2
ALF
74%
15%
11%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
ALF
1 - 1
SAM
20%
21%
60%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Castelfidardo Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 0
OLY
29%
24%
47%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
SAM
1 - 0
CAS
63%
20%
18%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 0
JES
36%
25%
39%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
ROM
1 - 1
CAS
46%
24%
30%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 2
PIN
32%
24%
44%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |