Alfarim GD vs União Banheirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
33.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfarim GD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
ALF
1 - 2
AMO
11%
17%
72%
|
15 | 40 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
AMO
1 - 0
ALF
86%
10%
4%
|
15 | 40 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
USA
1 - 1
ALF
40%
24%
37%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ALF
1 - 0
SES
39%
24%
37%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ALF
1 - 2
BMA
79%
13%
8%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
União Banheirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
UBA
3 - 1
USA
59%
21%
21%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
UBA
0 - 0
BMA
74%
16%
11%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ALM
1 - 1
UBA
29%
23%
48%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
UBA
2 - 0
MCA
52%
22%
26%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
OGR
4 - 1
UBA
52%
22%
26%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |