Alfarim GD vs Monte Caparica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
30.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfarim GD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
CIN
1 - 0
ALF
27%
23%
50%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ALF
1 - 1
OGR
46%
23%
31%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
ALC
0 - 1
ALF
73%
16%
11%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
ALF
3 - 1
ARR
81%
13%
7%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
FCB
1 - 1
ALF
86%
10%
4%
|
17 | 49 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Monte Caparica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
OGR
2 - 2
MCA
55%
21%
23%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
MCA
3 - 0
ARR
80%
13%
7%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
CHC
1 - 1
MCA
12%
18%
69%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
MCA
0 - 0
AMO
9%
16%
76%
|
14 | 48 | 34 | +3 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
SES
0 - 0
MCA
77%
15%
9%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | 0 |