Alfacar UD vs Estrellas Chana Barrio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
29.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfacar UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
HUE
3 - 2
ALF
49%
26%
25%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
ALF
2 - 0
HUE
28%
25%
47%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +2 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
ALM
2 - 2
ALF
36%
26%
38%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
ALF
0 - 1
VAN
44%
27%
30%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
UNI
1 - 2
ALF
20%
26%
54%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Estrellas Chana Barrio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
UDE
1 - 2
CFS
51%
23%
27%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
OGI
3 - 3
UDE
36%
25%
39%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
UDE
2 - 1
MAR
23%
26%
52%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | +4 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
CUL
1 - 1
UDE
38%
25%
38%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
UDE
3 - 1
HAZ
41%
23%
35%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +2 |