Alfacar UD vs Otura CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
29.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-75%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfacar UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
PUR
4 - 1
ALF
70%
17%
13%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ALF
0 - 6
CDC
33%
23%
44%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
CEL
6 - 1
ALF
54%
21%
25%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ALF
1 - 2
ATL
55%
22%
23%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CHU
3 - 0
ALF
34%
25%
41%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Otura CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
OTU
0 - 3
PDL
16%
20%
64%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
PUR
3 - 0
OTU
58%
21%
21%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
OTU
1 - 3
HUE
21%
22%
58%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
CDC
5 - 0
OTU
45%
22%
33%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
OTU
2 - 2
CDA
19%
19%
63%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | +1 |