Alemannia Aachen vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
20.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1985 |
HOM
0 - 2
AAA
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1985 |
AAA
1 - 1
DAR
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1985 |
EBT
0 - 2
AAA
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1985 |
AAA
0 - 1
WAT
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1985 |
ROT
0 - 0
AAA
48%
25%
26%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1985 |
DAR
4 - 0
MSV
61%
21%
18%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1985 |
MSV
1 - 1
WAT
54%
23%
23%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1985 |
KSC
2 - 0
MSV
61%
21%
18%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1985 |
MSV
2 - 3
BAY
58%
24%
18%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1985 |
BWB
0 - 0
MSV
54%
23%
23%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |