Alemannia Aachen vs SpVgg Erkenschwick analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
14.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-74%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1975 |
KÖL
1 - 1
AAA
82%
13%
6%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1975 |
AAA
2 - 1
DJK
47%
25%
29%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1975 |
WAT
3 - 1
AAA
80%
14%
6%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1975 |
AAA
1 - 2
BVB
25%
26%
49%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1975 |
ISC
2 - 0
AAA
70%
18%
12%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
SpVgg Erkenschwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1975 |
ERK
3 - 2
FCM
49%
26%
26%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1975 |
WUP
3 - 0
ERK
86%
10%
4%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1975 |
ERK
1 - 1
TEN
21%
23%
57%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1975 |
WAB
2 - 0
ERK
83%
12%
5%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1975 |
ERK
1 - 1
OSN
20%
23%
57%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | +1 |