Alecrim vs SAO Raimundo EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
31.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alecrim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
REC
3 - 1
ALE
55%
23%
22%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
ALE
1 - 1
USC
27%
27%
46%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
ALE
3 - 0
SER
40%
26%
34%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +3 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
SER
3 - 1
ALE
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -3 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
CEN
1 - 0
ALE
49%
26%
25%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
SAO Raimundo EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
REC
3 - 1
ALE
55%
23%
22%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
REC
2 - 0
CRI
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
CRI
1 - 1
REC
40%
26%
34%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
CRI
3 - 1
REC
32%
26%
42%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
REC
4 - 1
CRI
63%
21%
17%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |