Alcoyano vs Villarreal B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
26.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
HER
1 - 3
ALC
41%
28%
31%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
ALC
0 - 2
SAG
60%
24%
16%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
CDE
1 - 1
ALC
27%
29%
45%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
ALC
3 - 0
RCD
69%
20%
11%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
PRA
2 - 1
ALC
17%
27%
56%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | -2 |
Matches
Villarreal B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
LEV
1 - 1
VIL
25%
27%
49%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 1
HER
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
SAG
1 - 1
VIL
31%
29%
41%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 0
CDE
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
RCD
0 - 2
VIL
36%
26%
38%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |