Alcochetense vs Monte Caparica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.8%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
8.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcochetense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
OGR
1 - 1
ALC
30%
23%
47%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ALC
5 - 1
ARR
86%
11%
4%
|
22 | 7 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
CHC
1 - 2
ALC
11%
18%
72%
|
22 | 9 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
ALC
1 - 1
AMO
15%
19%
66%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
SES
1 - 2
ALC
39%
24%
37%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Monte Caparica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
MCA
0 - 1
FCB
11%
18%
72%
|
13 | 41 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
UBA
2 - 0
MCA
52%
22%
26%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
MCA
2 - 0
USA
47%
23%
30%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
BMA
3 - 2
MCA
20%
21%
59%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | -2 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
MCA
4 - 3
ALM
55%
22%
23%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |