Alcochetense vs Alfarim GD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
10.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcochetense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
FCB
3 - 1
ALC
81%
14%
6%
|
25 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
ALC
1 - 1
UBA
73%
16%
11%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
USA
1 - 2
ALC
21%
22%
57%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
ALC
8 - 0
BMA
85%
11%
4%
|
27 | 9 | 18 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ALM
0 - 3
ALC
13%
19%
69%
|
27 | 12 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Alfarim GD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
ALF
3 - 1
ARR
81%
13%
7%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
FCB
1 - 1
ALF
86%
10%
4%
|
17 | 49 | 32 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
ALF
2 - 1
CHC
81%
13%
7%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
UBA
3 - 2
ALF
26%
23%
51%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | -1 |