Alcides vs Hoogland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
23.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcides
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
DEB
5 - 1
ALC
40%
22%
38%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ALC
1 - 3
AWC
60%
20%
20%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2018 |
ALC
0 - 6
AZA
3%
9%
87%
|
38 | 83 | 45 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
ALC
0 - 1
ACH
26%
23%
51%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
RKZ
0 - 3
ALC
53%
20%
27%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Hoogland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
HOO
1 - 4
RKZ
33%
22%
45%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
SDO
2 - 2
HOO
64%
19%
17%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
HOO
1 - 1
FWO
33%
22%
45%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
ACH
3 - 1
HOO
74%
16%
10%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
HOO
2 - 0
BEQ
20%
20%
60%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | +3 |