Alcides vs AWC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.8%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
20%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcides
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2018 |
ALC
0 - 6
AZA
3%
9%
87%
|
38 | 83 | 45 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
ALC
0 - 1
ACH
26%
23%
51%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
RKZ
0 - 3
ALC
53%
20%
27%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
ALC
0 - 0
RKH
58%
20%
22%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
BEQ
0 - 2
ALC
69%
16%
15%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +3 |
Matches
AWC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
AWC
4 - 1
MSC
43%
21%
36%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
RKH
2 - 4
AWC
59%
20%
21%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
AWC
2 - 5
FWO
39%
21%
40%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
HOO
2 - 1
AWC
57%
20%
23%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
RKS
1 - 2
AWC
37%
22%
41%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |