Alcantarilla Thader vs Caravaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
62.1%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
9%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcantarilla Thader
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
CAL
2 - 3
ALC
67%
18%
15%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
ALC
2 - 1
LOR
29%
22%
49%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
CIE
5 - 4
ALC
22%
21%
57%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
ALC
2 - 0
BAL
19%
20%
61%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
JUM
1 - 3
ALC
68%
18%
14%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Caravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 0
EFA
39%
24%
37%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
UDL
1 - 3
CAR
20%
21%
60%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 2
SPO
77%
15%
9%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
CAP
2 - 1
CAR
17%
20%
63%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
PIN
0 - 0
CAR
49%
23%
28%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |