Alcanenense vs Sertanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
27.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcanenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ADM
1 - 1
ALC
26%
24%
50%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ALC
1 - 1
NAV
59%
24%
18%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CAL
0 - 0
ALC
46%
27%
28%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ALC
3 - 1
PEN
64%
21%
15%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CRA
0 - 2
ALC
14%
20%
67%
|
48 | 25 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SER
2 - 0
PEN
66%
21%
14%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
SER
0 - 2
ADM
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CRA
1 - 1
SER
13%
20%
67%
|
48 | 24 | 24 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
SER
1 - 1
NAV
58%
24%
19%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
VIT
1 - 0
SER
24%
24%
52%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | -1 |