Alcanenense vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
35.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcanenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
PEN
0 - 1
ALC
15%
24%
61%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 0
CRA
67%
20%
13%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
VIT
0 - 1
ALC
29%
25%
46%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
ALC
1 - 1
SER
47%
26%
27%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ADM
1 - 1
ALC
26%
24%
50%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CAL
0 - 0
ADM
59%
24%
17%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
NAV
3 - 0
CAL
22%
27%
51%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 1
SER
50%
27%
23%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 1
CAL
14%
24%
62%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 0
CRA
69%
21%
10%
|
53 | 28 | 25 | 0 |