RSD Alcalá vs Real Aranjuez CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
9.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2000 |
PNT
2 - 0
ALC
29%
27%
44%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2000 |
NAV
0 - 1
ALC
30%
27%
43%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2000 |
ALC
0 - 2
COL
75%
17%
8%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2000 |
SNF
1 - 1
ALC
20%
25%
55%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2000 |
ALC
2 - 1
SFN
74%
17%
9%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2000 |
ARA
1 - 0
NAV
39%
27%
34%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2000 |
COL
0 - 2
ARA
63%
22%
16%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2000 |
ARA
1 - 1
SNF
41%
25%
34%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2000 |
SFN
2 - 1
ARA
55%
25%
20%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2000 |
ARA
2 - 4
RMC
18%
24%
58%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | -1 |