RSD Alcalá vs CD Toledo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
18.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
MAN
4 - 2
ALC
75%
14%
11%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
ALC
1 - 2
GIM
66%
18%
16%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
ATB
2 - 2
ALC
73%
15%
12%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
CDB
3 - 0
ALC
84%
10%
6%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
ALC
2 - 0
VIL
75%
14%
11%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
CDT
0 - 1
CDB
54%
22%
25%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
VIL
0 - 6
CDT
54%
21%
25%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
CDT
1 - 2
CAR
76%
14%
10%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
ARA
2 - 1
CDT
60%
20%
20%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
CDT
1 - 1
DBN
72%
16%
13%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |