CD Alcalá vs PD Rociera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
18.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
ARC
1 - 0
ALC
61%
22%
18%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
ALC
0 - 0
CCF
38%
25%
37%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
EGA
0 - 3
ALC
55%
23%
22%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
ALC
0 - 2
ESP
26%
24%
50%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
ALC
55%
23%
23%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
PD Rociera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
ROC
1 - 2
COR
15%
23%
62%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
JER
0 - 2
ROC
62%
21%
17%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
ROC
0 - 3
LEB
34%
26%
41%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
ATL
2 - 1
ROC
42%
25%
34%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
ROC
1 - 0
LAP
22%
25%
52%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | +1 |