CD Alcalá vs Arcos CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
58.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+83%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
CCF
1 - 0
ALC
63%
21%
16%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
ALC
0 - 2
EGA
25%
23%
53%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
ESP
2 - 1
ALC
78%
14%
8%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
ALC
0 - 1
MON
47%
24%
29%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
BOL
1 - 0
ALC
65%
20%
15%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Arcos CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
ARC
4 - 0
COR
29%
26%
45%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
JER
0 - 0
ARC
28%
26%
47%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
ARC
2 - 0
LEB
59%
22%
19%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
ATL
0 - 1
ARC
32%
25%
44%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
ARC
1 - 1
LAP
36%
26%
38%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |