Alcains vs Oleiros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
48.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+105%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcains
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
EST
0 - 2
ALC
66%
19%
16%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ALC
1 - 0
VVR
79%
14%
8%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
BAN
1 - 2
ALC
19%
21%
61%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
ALC
1 - 1
PAN
84%
11%
5%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
ALC
2 - 0
BEL
71%
17%
13%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Oleiros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
OLE
1 - 1
BEL
82%
12%
6%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
EST
0 - 1
OLE
45%
23%
32%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ADM
5 - 0
OLE
63%
20%
18%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
OLE
1 - 1
VVR
84%
11%
5%
|
28 | 11 | 17 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
OLE
0 - 0
FUN
78%
14%
8%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |