Albirex Niigata vs RB Omiya Ardija analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
16.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
VIS
2 - 1
ALB
42%
28%
30%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
ALB
2 - 3
URA
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
ALB
4 - 0
SHI
38%
26%
36%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
MON
0 - 1
ALB
25%
30%
45%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
ALB
1 - 0
KAW
25%
23%
51%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
RB Omiya Ardija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
OMI
1 - 1
MON
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
SHI
3 - 0
OMI
59%
23%
17%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
OMI
2 - 2
VEG
40%
28%
32%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
YFM
2 - 1
OMI
58%
24%
17%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
VEG
0 - 1
OMI
55%
26%
19%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |