Albirex Niigata vs Niigata University analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
91.3%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.2%
+7
2%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
9.1%
4-0
13.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
15.4%
3-0
17.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
21%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
16.2%
7.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
2.9%
2-2
0.6%
3-3
<0%
0
7.2%
1.5%
Win probability
0.26
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.4%
2-3
0%
-1
1.4%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
URA
1 - 0
ALB
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2013 |
ALB
4 - 2
JUB
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
ALB
2 - 1
KAW
21%
22%
57%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
KAA
1 - 0
ALB
69%
20%
11%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
VEN
1 - 1
ALB
43%
28%
29%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Niigata University
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
MHY
0 - 1
NUN
36%
24%
40%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
SFJ
3 - 0
NUN
50%
23%
28%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |