Albirex Niigata S vs Sporting Afrique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.5%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
10.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albirex Niigata S
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2006 |
GOM
2 - 0
ALB
24%
24%
52%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2006 |
ALB
2 - 2
BAL
66%
19%
15%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
WOO
2 - 1
ALB
55%
24%
22%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2006 |
ALB
2 - 0
LCS
50%
24%
27%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2006 |
ALB
3 - 0
GEY
76%
16%
9%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Afrique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2006 |
SPO
1 - 1
HOU
56%
23%
22%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
WAR
3 - 1
SPO
79%
14%
7%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2006 |
CYL
2 - 2
SPO
71%
18%
11%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2006 |
SPO
2 - 4
GOM
60%
22%
18%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
SPO
0 - 2
WOO
20%
22%
58%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |