Albirex Niigata S vs Etoile FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
36.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albirex Niigata S
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2010 |
BEI
0 - 2
ALB
60%
23%
17%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2010 |
ALB
1 - 2
CYL
52%
24%
23%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
SEN
0 - 1
ALB
31%
27%
42%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
AFS
3 - 0
ALB
59%
24%
17%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2010 |
ALB
0 - 0
GOM
36%
26%
38%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Etoile FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2010 |
GOM
1 - 0
ETO
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2010 |
ETO
1 - 0
BAL
77%
16%
7%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2010 |
ETO
2 - 2
GEY
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2010 |
TAM
1 - 1
ETO
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
LCS
3 - 3
ETO
52%
24%
24%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |