Albion Rovers vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.2%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
71.2%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albion Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
STE
4 - 0
ALB
61%
21%
19%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
AYR
2 - 0
ALB
76%
15%
9%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
ALB
1 - 0
EAS
34%
26%
40%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
AIR
2 - 0
ALB
62%
20%
18%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
ALB
0 - 1
FOR
44%
24%
32%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
AYR
3 - 1
GRE
60%
21%
19%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
FOR
1 - 0
AYR
18%
20%
63%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
AYR
2 - 0
ALB
76%
15%
9%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
ALL
2 - 1
AYR
29%
25%
46%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
AYR
1 - 2
STR
77%
16%
8%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | -1 |