Albany Creek vs Logan Lightning analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.3%
19.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albany Creek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
GRA
1 - 2
ALB
52%
21%
27%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
ALB
1 - 0
EAS
60%
19%
21%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2017 |
SPR
0 - 6
ALB
12%
17%
71%
|
30 | 11 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
ALB
2 - 3
QUE
24%
19%
57%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2017 |
ALB
2 - 1
HPH
45%
21%
34%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
LOG
3 - 1
CAP
54%
20%
26%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
LOG
1 - 3
PEN
36%
21%
43%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2017 |
LOG
6 - 0
VIR
48%
21%
31%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
MIT
2 - 1
LOG
58%
20%
22%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
LOG
5 - 3
GRA
30%
22%
49%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +2 |