Atlético Alagoinhas vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10%
22%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
64.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Alagoinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SER
4 - 0
ALA
39%
25%
37%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
ALA
0 - 0
ITA
18%
20%
62%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
JEC
0 - 1
ALA
18%
19%
62%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
ALA
0 - 1
JAC
29%
26%
45%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
ALA
0 - 1
NAU
19%
22%
59%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CSA
3 - 1
VIT
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
VIT
2 - 0
JEC
77%
15%
8%
|
66 | 40 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
BAH
1 - 0
VIT
71%
18%
11%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
VIT
3 - 0
ADA
80%
14%
6%
|
66 | 35 | 31 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
VIT
1 - 1
SAN
70%
20%
10%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |