Al Shorta vs Al-Ahly Merowe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
25%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Shorta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
HAW
1 - 0
ASH
46%
26%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
ASH
0 - 1
ALH
59%
23%
19%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2018 |
MER
0 - 1
ASH
41%
27%
32%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2018 |
ASH
1 - 1
ALA
67%
19%
14%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -9 |
| 28 Mar. 2018 |
ASH
2 - 2
OBA
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +9 |
Matches
Al-Ahly Merowe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2018 |
AAS
0 - 1
KSC
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
HAW
0 - 0
AAS
44%
25%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2018 |
MER
2 - 2
AAS
30%
27%
43%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -11 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
ALH
4 - 1
AAS
57%
22%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +11 |
| 19 Mar. 2018 |
KHA
1 - 3
AAS
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |