Champions Cup Saudi Arabia Quarter-finals
Global 4-3
Al-Nassr vs Al-Ahli SFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
24.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Nassr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
ALA
0 - 3
ALN
49%
24%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2010 |
WAS
4 - 2
ALN
28%
24%
48%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
ALN
3 - 1
WAS
61%
22%
18%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2010 |
ALN
4 - 2
ALR
68%
21%
11%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
ALF
0 - 2
ALN
24%
27%
49%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Ahli SFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
ALA
0 - 3
ALN
49%
24%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2010 |
AJA
0 - 2
ALA
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2010 |
ALA
5 - 1
AJA
41%
25%
35%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2010 |
ALF
3 - 1
ALA
26%
28%
46%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
ALA
0 - 1
ALI
43%
25%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |