Al Mourada vs Al Ahli Khartoum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
16.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Mourada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2019 |
OMD
0 - 0
ALA
60%
23%
17%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2019 |
OMD
0 - 0
HAW
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -2 |
| 19 Feb. 2019 |
ALM
4 - 0
OMD
83%
12%
5%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | +2 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
OMD
2 - 1
AAS
62%
21%
18%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2019 |
OMD
1 - 0
KHA
41%
27%
32%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Al Ahli Khartoum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2019 |
ALA
1 - 2
ALR
55%
25%
20%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2019 |
OMD
0 - 0
ALA
60%
23%
17%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2019 |
ALA
3 - 1
ALA
28%
29%
44%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2019 |
ALA
0 - 1
KHA
27%
29%
45%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +2 |
| 06 Feb. 2019 |
ALM
2 - 2
ALA
88%
9%
3%
|
47 | 70 | 23 | +1 |