Al Karkh vs Al Shorta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
27.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Karkh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2011 |
KAR
2 - 0
ALT
48%
27%
25%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2011 |
ALM
0 - 1
KAR
50%
27%
23%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
KAR
1 - 1
ALM
34%
30%
36%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2011 |
KAR
1 - 1
ARB
34%
28%
38%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2011 |
JAI
0 - 1
KAR
20%
27%
53%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Al Shorta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2011 |
ALS
1 - 0
ALM
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2011 |
ALS
3 - 0
ALN
60%
24%
17%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2011 |
ALS
0 - 0
ALS
53%
26%
21%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2011 |
ALS
2 - 0
ALN
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2011 |
DUH
1 - 0
ALS
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |