Al-Ittihad vs Najran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
13.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Ittihad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
ARA
1 - 3
ALI
22%
23%
55%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
ALF
0 - 1
ALI
32%
25%
43%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ALI
1 - 0
ALQ
74%
17%
10%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
ALI
4 - 0
PAK
70%
17%
12%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2012 |
ALI
0 - 2
ALH
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Najran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
NAJ
2 - 1
ALN
35%
26%
40%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
NAJ
1 - 1
ALT
52%
24%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2012 |
ALQ
0 - 2
NAJ
50%
24%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2012 |
ALS
4 - 0
NAJ
64%
21%
16%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
NAJ
3 - 1
ALR
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |