Al Ahly SC vs Simba SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
10.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ahly SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
ALM
2 - 2
ALA
8%
18%
74%
|
78 | 43 | 35 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
VCL
0 - 3
ALA
40%
27%
33%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
ISM
0 - 2
ALA
32%
28%
40%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
ALA
2 - 2
VCL
57%
22%
20%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
ALA
2 - 1
GEI
62%
23%
15%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Simba SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
SIM
4 - 1
VCL
31%
24%
45%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
SIM
3 - 0
ALM
84%
11%
5%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
SIM
1 - 1
TAN
66%
21%
13%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
ALM
0 - 0
SIM
15%
20%
65%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2021 |
SIM
3 - 0
JKT
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |