AP Brera vs Renova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
24%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AP Brera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
SIL
3 - 2
AKP
39%
27%
33%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
AKP
3 - 0
VAR
45%
28%
28%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
SHK
1 - 0
AKP
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
AKP
0 - 1
SHK
40%
29%
32%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2021 |
MAK
1 - 3
AKP
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Renova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
PEL
1 - 0
REN
36%
27%
37%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
REN
2 - 1
SIL
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
VAR
1 - 1
REN
51%
25%
25%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
REN
0 - 3
SHK
29%
26%
45%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
SHK
1 - 2
REN
57%
24%
20%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |