Ajax vs Dinamo Zagreb analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
15.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
RJC
0 - 4
AJA
15%
19%
66%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
RJC
2 - 4
AJA
19%
21%
60%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
AJA
1 - 1
FEY
70%
18%
12%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2011 |
DZG
0 - 2
AJA
33%
24%
43%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
AJA
2 - 2
AZA
60%
21%
18%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
IST
0 - 2
DZG
14%
23%
62%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2011 |
HAS
0 - 4
DZG
11%
20%
69%
|
85 | 53 | 32 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
DZG
2 - 0
RIJ
69%
20%
12%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2011 |
DZG
0 - 2
AJA
33%
24%
43%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2011 |
ZAD
2 - 1
DZG
17%
24%
59%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |