Ajax Amateurs vs Excelsior .31 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
40.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax Amateurs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
VVO
1 - 1
AJA
30%
25%
46%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
AJA
1 - 1
HAR
40%
24%
36%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2022 |
AJA
2 - 1
SPO
34%
26%
40%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
TER
2 - 1
AJA
53%
23%
25%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
LIS
2 - 0
AJA
69%
18%
13%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
EXC
3 - 3
GOE
67%
19%
15%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2022 |
VVS
4 - 2
EXC
30%
24%
46%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
LIS
0 - 0
EXC
52%
23%
24%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2022 |
EXC
0 - 0
BAR
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
EXC
2 - 1
VVO
73%
16%
11%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |