Aizawl vs Neroca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
16.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
4º
10º
8º
25
5º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aizawl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
CHU
1 - 1
AIZ
63%
20%
17%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2022 |
MIN
2 - 1
AIZ
52%
24%
23%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2022 |
AIZ
2 - 1
SMF
66%
20%
14%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
AIZ
0 - 1
GFC
23%
25%
52%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2022 |
AIZ
1 - 1
TRA
41%
25%
34%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Neroca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
RAJ
1 - 0
NER
65%
20%
14%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2022 |
KEN
0 - 1
NER
41%
25%
34%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2022 |
MOH
3 - 1
NER
68%
20%
12%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
NER
1 - 0
SMF
48%
25%
28%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
NER
0 - 1
RKF
34%
26%
40%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |