Aigle Noir vs Racing des Gonaives analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
21.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aigle Noir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
TEM
1 - 0
AIG
51%
27%
23%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
AME
2 - 0
AIG
41%
30%
30%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
AIG
2 - 0
VIO
49%
28%
23%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
AIG
1 - 1
CAV
46%
31%
23%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
RAC
2 - 1
AIG
49%
27%
24%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Racing des Gonaives
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
GON
0 - 0
DON
30%
32%
39%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
ASM
4 - 0
GON
50%
27%
23%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
RAC
1 - 1
GON
60%
22%
18%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
GON
0 - 1
TEM
24%
31%
45%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
AME
1 - 0
GON
47%
27%
26%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |